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The Fitness Retention Report: Weekly Fitness Growth, Churn & Community Trends

Cadoo — The Fitness Retention Report: Weekly Fitness Growth, Churn & Community Trends

Welcome to The Fitness Retention Report — Cadoo's running, weekly read on how fitness brands, businesses, and professionals grow their audience, cut churn, and build the community and accountability that keep people consistent. We track the news, earnings, studies, and PR across the health, wellness, and fitness world and translate each one into a practical takeaway.

Every fitness brand, gym, studio, and trainer lives or dies by one thing: whether people keep showing up. A membership that goes unused gets cancelled. A tracker that gathers dust gets forgotten. A client who ghosts between sessions stops paying. The antidote is consistency — and the fastest way to consistency is money motivation, social accountability, and AI-verified proof-of-workout. That's what Cadoo turns into branded fitness games: players stake money on a goal, get paid when they finish, and keep each other honest on a shared leaderboard.

Each edition is organized by three audiences — 🏷️ Brands, 🏢 Businesses, 🧑‍🏫 Professionals — and tagged by the job to be done: [GROW], [RETAIN], or [ACCOUNTABILITY]. Newest week is on top. Bookmark it; it updates weekly.

📅 Week of August 10, 2026

🏷️ Fitness Brands

[RETAIN] Peloton posts its first profitable year — but Connected Fitness subscribers keep shrinking

The number: 2.553M Connected Fitness subscriptions, down 8.8% year-over-year; 2.2% monthly churn

Peloton reported roughly $63 million in net income for fiscal 2026, its first profitable full year, reversing a $118.9 million loss the prior year. Paid Connected Fitness subscriptions fell 8.8% to 2.553 million with churn at 2.2%, and the company guided FY2027 revenue down to $2.3–$2.4 billion.

The Cadoo angle: Profitability bought by cost discipline still leaves the subscriber leak open — the retention problem is behavioral, which is exactly where money motivation and social accountability apply.

Source: The Clip Out · 2026-08-06

[GROW] Wearable makers chase healthcare as Whoop and Oura raise at 10-figure valuations

The number: Whoop raised $575M at a $10.1B valuation; Oura raised $900M at $11B

Whoop and Oura both raised major rounds while pushing into clinical territory with features like FDA-cleared ECG, Health Records and GLP-1 Insights, and Garmin and Google entered with the $199 Cirqa band and $99.99 Fitbit Air. Morgan Stanley estimates 63% of consumers use or plan to buy wearables, though physicians and insurers have not yet adopted readiness scores.

The Cadoo angle: Trackers are winning at measurement but still leave the motivation gap unsolved; Cadoo reads steps and distance from Apple Health and Google Health Connect and attaches money and a leaderboard to the number.

Source: Athletech News · 2026-08-06

[GROW] Nike bets on hybrid racing with a two-shoe HYROX system and its own gym brand

Nike unveiled the Nike Hybrid, a two-shoe footwear system built for HYROX-style training and competition, alongside The Yard Gym brand, an Elite Training Division for pro HYROX athletes, and Station 00 hubs piloted at global races. PUMA, adidas, On and Gymshark are all building purpose-made kit for the same segment.

The Cadoo angle: Race-shaped fitness works because there is a date, a scoreboard and other people watching — the same structure a branded Cadoo game gives a brand's community year-round.

Source: Fitt Insider · 2026-08-04

[ACCOUNTABILITY] Running turns into a luxury lifestyle as premium gear and race spending climb

The number: Premium running shoes ($150+) saw a 46% sales jump; some runners spend ~$1,500 a year

US running apparel sales rose 10% to nearly $1 billion and premium shoe sales jumped 46%, with brands like Satisfy projecting 50–60% revenue growth for 2026 and District Vision holding around 30%. The report argues that belonging to running culture — run clubs, finisher medals, premium apparel — has become the real product, not the running itself.

The Cadoo angle: People are paying for membership in an accountable community; a branded game makes that belonging something you earn by showing up rather than something you buy.

Source: Fitt Insider · 2026-08-07

🏢 Fitness Businesses

[RETAIN] New gym joins fall 9% while cancellations rise — ABC Fitness says the next phase is consistency

The number: 67% of members cite community as their biggest motivation driver, up 12% year-over-year

ABC Fitness's Mid-Year 2026 Wellness Watch Report found new gym joins down 9% and cancellations up 8% year-over-year, while check-ins stayed roughly flat and studio check-ins rose 27%. Gen Z accounted for 46% of new gym memberships, and 57% of members said belonging to a fitness community significantly affects their long-term commitment.

The Cadoo angle: When acquisition softens, the members you already have are the growth plan — and the report's own levers, accountability and community, are what a branded game is built to manufacture.

Source: Athletech News · 2026-06-24

[GROW] Planet Fitness grows to 21.5M members but the stock falls on sluggish sign-ups

The number: Revenue up 7.1% to $365.2M, but system-wide same-club sales grew just 1.7%

Planet Fitness reported Q2 2026 revenue of $365.2 million, up 7.1%, with about 21.5 million members across 2,930 clubs and Black Card penetration near 68%. Same-club sales growth of 1.7% underwhelmed investors and the stock fell 9.51% on the day.

The Cadoo angle: Adding clubs is getting easier than adding visits; the value now sits in giving existing members a reason to walk through the door this week.

Source: StockTitan · 2026-08-06

[GROW] Xponential's boutique franchise system contracts as same-store sales drop 6.8%

The number: North American same-store sales fell 6.8%; revenue down 13% to $66M

Xponential Fitness posted a $4.1 million Q2 loss on $66 million of revenue and cut its 2026 outlook, with North American same-store sales down 6.8% and adjusted EBITDA off 22%. The franchisor ended the quarter with 3,165 locations while its board continues to review strategic alternatives.

The Cadoo angle: Boutique studios sell class packs that only pay off if people actually attend; consistency mechanics protect the franchisee's revenue, not just the member's results.

Source: Yahoo Finance / AP · 2026-08-06

[GROW] HYROX-related sales soar 191% at gyms as racers go looking for training homes

The number: 191% growth in HYROX-related sales at gyms

Athletech News reported that HYROX-related sales at gyms grew 191%, describing a 'HYROX Hook' in which consumers register for a race first and then go looking for a facility to train at. The pattern points to event registration as an acquisition channel for operators.

The Cadoo angle: A signed-up race date is a commitment device; a staked game is the same mechanism an operator can run on its own floor, any week of the year.

Source: Athletech News · 2026-08-06

[ACCOUNTABILITY] 'Gyms are intrinsically communal': operators bet human connection is fitness' next opportunity

Athletech News reports that operators including Fit Club, Pvolve and Vida are treating human connection not merely as a retention tactic but as an essential part of modern wellness. The piece frames social connection as a central strategic priority as the industry pivots toward longevity and community-driven experiences.

The Cadoo angle: Connection sticks when it has stakes and a scoreboard — leaderboards and shared proof videos turn a friendly gym into a group that notices when you skip.

Source: Athletech News · 2026-08-10

🧑‍🏫 Fitness Professionals

[RETAIN] Les Mills CEO: group fitness is the club's most reliable retention engine, and instructors are the asset

Les Mills CEO Sean Turner argues that operators consistently undervalue group training and should treat it as a strategic priority rather than a scheduling afterthought, saying that recruiting, developing and supporting great instructors 'is everything.' He recommends tracking attendance, utilization and retention systematically and prioritizing live coaching over digital-only alternatives.

The Cadoo angle: The instructor is already the accountability layer; a branded game extends that relationship to the six days a week the class isn't running.

Source: Athletech News · 2026-07-29

[GROW] ISSA expands into business education after finding 80% of new trainers quit within two years

The number: ~80% of new personal trainers leave the profession within their first two years

ISSA launched a five-course, 20-hour Fitness Business Bundle covering business development, client acquisition, marketing funnels, digital income streams and automation. The organization says roughly 80% of new personal trainers leave within two years, usually because of the business side rather than the coaching itself.

The Cadoo angle: Trainers churn when clients churn; a staked challenge across a client roster gives a coach a repeatable retention product that doesn't require more session hours.

Source: Athletech News · 2026-06-11

[ACCOUNTABILITY] Trainers adopt AI en masse — but only 10% of consumers want it instead of a human coach

The number: 64% of trainers use AI regularly, yet just 10% of consumers prefer AI guidance over a human coach

ISSA's July industry roundup reports that 64% of trainers now use AI regularly while only 10% of consumers globally would choose AI workout guidance over a human coach, per Les Mills' 2026 Global Fitness Report. The roundup also notes wearables topped ACSM's trend list for a third straight year and that 81 million Americans held a fitness facility membership in 2025.

The Cadoo angle: AI is best pointed at verification rather than motivation — CadooVision judges the reps so the human coach stays the one holding people accountable.

Source: ISSA · 2026-08-06

Grow, retain, or get your community accountable? Try a free Cadoo demo game (steps, situps, pushups or squatups), or launch a branded game for your gym, studio, brand, or client roster — email Tim@cadoo.io or join the Cadoo Upside Hub at cadoo.games/brands.


📅 Week of August 3, 2026

🏷️ Fitness Brands

[GROW] Garmin posts record Q2 as fitness segment revenue jumps 25% to $757M

The number: Fitness revenue +25% to a Q2 record $756.8M; total revenue $2.02B (+11%)

Garmin reported record second-quarter 2026 results with fitness segment revenue up 25% year over year to $756.8 million on total revenue of $2.02 billion. The company credited demand for advanced wearables and introduced the Forerunner 70, Forerunner 170 and the screenless CIRQA Smart Band.

The Cadoo angle: Tracker brands selling record volumes still need users to keep moving; Cadoo turns the Apple Health and Google Health Connect data those devices already produce into money-staked branded games with a daily reason to hit the number.

Source: Garmin Ltd. (investor press release) · 2026-07-29

[GROW] Whoop hires ex-Glossier CEO as chief commercial officer to take on Apple and Oura

The number: 3 million members across 56 countries; follows a $575M raise at a $10.1B valuation

Whoop appointed former Glossier CEO Kyle Leahy as chief commercial officer, adding to a consumer-brand build-out that already included a Nike marketing veteran as CMO. The wearable maker reports roughly 3 million members across 56 countries as it competes with Apple, Oura and Google's Fitbit Air.

The Cadoo angle: A subscription wearable's economics depend on members staying engaged month after month, and Cadoo's money-motivated, AI-verified branded games give a device community a recurring reason to use what they're paying for.

Source: Fortune · 2026-07-28

[ACCOUNTABILITY] Run clubs become a shoe-brand battleground as members prioritize them over nights out

The number: 84% prioritized a run club over a night out; 45% call it their main way of meeting new people

Survey data reported by Athletech News found 84% of respondents prioritized attending a run club over going out at night, 45% called it their primary way of meeting new people, and 25% met four or more inner-circle friends through one. Brooks, On, Hoka, Adidas, Topo, New Balance and Nike are all leaning into run clubs, with 53% saying friends and club recommendations drive their shoe choices.

The Cadoo angle: Run clubs work because someone notices whether you show up; Cadoo extends that same social accountability to the days between meetups by putting real money and AI-verified proof-of-workout behind a shared leaderboard.

Source: Athletech News · 2026-07-31

[ACCOUNTABILITY] Strava adds an Events tab and race discovery to push community-led training

The number: 195M+ athletes across 185+ countries

Strava launched an Events tab inside its Groups experience plus a refreshed Club Organizer Hub, surfacing local group runs, rides and races based on an athlete's history and location. Runna's race database is now searchable inside Strava for the first time, extending the platform's investment in clubs and group activity.

The Cadoo angle: Strava keeps proving that visibility to a group changes behavior; Cadoo adds the missing enforcement layer, where a staked challenge and camera-verified reps mean skipping a day costs something real.

Source: Strava (press release) · 2026-07-09

🏢 Fitness Businesses

[RETAIN] ABC Fitness data: consistency, not sign-ups, is now the growth driver

The number: Members visiting 4+ times a month stay an average of 7 months longer; 67% cite community as their biggest motivator

Drawing on data from more than 30,000 fitness businesses and 40 million members, ABC Fitness reports new gym joins down 9% and cancellations up 8% year over year, while studio check-ins climbed 27%. Members who visit at least four times a month stay an average of seven months longer, and 67% name community as their biggest source of motivation.

The Cadoo angle: The report's own conclusion is that operators who help members stay accountable and see progress win the loyalty, which is exactly the job a staked, socially-visible Cadoo branded game is built to do between visits.

Source: Athletech News / ABC Fitness "Reinforcement Shift" report · 2026-07-22

[RETAIN] FitGrid: roughly one in eight members is already at risk of cancelling

The number: 1 in 8 members at risk at any time; follow-up messages lift first-timer return rates 35%

Retention platform FitGrid says roughly one in eight members is at risk of cancelling at any given time, translating to 25%-50% annual client loss if unaddressed, and flags members whose visits drop 50% or more over a 60-day window. Simple follow-up messages improved first-time client return rates by about 35% and nearly doubled spend over the following three months.

The Cadoo angle: A visit drop is inconsistency showing up before the cancellation does; a money-staked Cadoo challenge gives an at-risk member a concrete, dated reason to come back rather than just another reminder to ignore.

Source: Athletech News · 2026-07-31

[GROW] Bodyrok hits 100 Pilates studios and targets global category leadership

The number: 100 studios; 358,000+ clients served annually

Pilates brand Bodyrok reached 100 studios worldwide, serving more than 358,000 clients a year across cities including New York, Chicago, Miami, London, Dallas and Seattle, with hundreds more locations in development. Co-founder Jakob Irion attributes the growth to a proprietary reformer and a faster-paced method that is hard to copy, saying the brand aims to be a global category leader within five years.

The Cadoo angle: Fast-scaling boutique brands compete on how a workout feels and whether clients come back; a Cadoo branded game keeps that community staking and consistent on the days there is no class booked.

Source: Athletech News · 2026-07-31

[GROW] STRONG Pilates nearly quintuples its U.S. footprint, targeting 25 studios by year-end

The number: 120+ studios in 15 countries; 25 U.S. studios planned by end of 2026; ~$75M network revenue over 12 months

Australian-founded STRONG Pilates is accelerating U.S. expansion across Boston, Charlotte, Los Angeles, Maryland, New York City and Philadelphia, aiming for 25 U.S. studios by the end of 2026 from a base of 120-plus studios in 15 countries. Co-founder Michael Ramsey says U.S. studios average over 250 members and one in two clears $1 million in annualized recurring revenue within a year of opening.

The Cadoo angle: Franchise economics depend on member counts holding after the launch buzz fades, and a branded Cadoo game gives new studios a low-cost consistency layer from day one.

Source: Athletech News · 2026-07-29

[ACCOUNTABILITY] BFT turns in-studio competition into a franchisee revenue channel

The number: 320+ studios globally; franchisees keep 100% of ticket sales

BFT launched Podium Series, a team-of-two in-studio competition across Rookie, Open and Pro tiers rolling out August 2, 2026 to its 320-plus studios, with franchisees keeping all ticket revenue plus sponsorship and merchandise income. Founder Cameron Falloon says the format encourages consistent attendance, lifts accountability and deepens community by giving members something concrete to train toward.

The Cadoo angle: This is the same mechanic Cadoo productizes, a finite competition people train toward, except a Cadoo game runs continuously, verifies the work with AI, and puts members' own money on the outcome.

Source: Athletech News · 2026-07-17

🧑‍🏫 Fitness Professionals

[GROW] ISSA report: trainers are certified but not equipped to drive retention

The number: Anytime Fitness is short ~1,300 coaches across 2,300 U.S. locations; Snap Fitness wants 4,000 more trainers

ISSA's 2026 Fitness Hiring Report finds a readiness gap in which certified trainers lack the business acumen, behavioral skills and retention strategies operators actually hire for, even as U.S. trainer employment is projected to grow 12% from 2024 to 2034. Anytime Fitness reports a shortfall of roughly 1,300 coaches across 2,300 domestic locations and Snap Fitness is seeking 4,000 trainers globally.

The Cadoo angle: Operators say they want trainers who can drive client retention; a Cadoo branded game gives a coach a ready-made retention system, with staked goals and AI-verified workouts, rather than asking them to invent one.

Source: Athletech News / ISSA 2026 Fitness Hiring Report · 2026-07-14

[ACCOUNTABILITY] Future scraps its AI personal training product and doubles down on human coaches

The number: Only 10% of consumers globally prefer an AI coach over a human (11% among 16-27s)

Coaching app Future cancelled the launch of its free AI-powered training product and restructured around two human-coached tiers at $129 and $399 per month, citing member feedback. Industry survey data shows just 10% of consumers globally would choose an AI coach over a human, including 11% of 16-to-27-year-olds.

The Cadoo angle: The part clients pay for is a human who notices when they skip, and Cadoo backs that coach up with money stakes and camera-verified reps so accountability keeps working on the days no one is watching.

Source: Athletech News · 2026-06-19

[RETAIN] Benchmark: fitness apps with challenges and leaderboards see 20-35% lower monthly churn

The number: 20-35% lower monthly churn with social features; users doing fewer than 3 workouts in 14 days churn at 3-4x the rate

RetentionCheck's 2026 fitness-app benchmarks put median monthly churn at 9.2% and find that apps with challenges, leaderboards or friend connections see 20-35% lower monthly churn than solo experiences. Users who complete fewer than three workouts in their first 14 days churn at three to four times the rate of those who build a weekly habit; the figures are the publisher's editorial estimate anchored to Peloton filings and third-party subscription data.

The Cadoo angle: Cadoo is built from the exact mechanics the benchmark credits, shared leaderboards and finite challenges, with staked money and AI-verified reps making the first two weeks stick instead of drifting.

Source: RetentionCheck (fitness app churn benchmarks; editorial estimate anchored to Peloton filings and Antenna data) · 2026

Grow, retain, or get your community accountable? Try a free Cadoo demo game (steps, situps, pushups or squatups), or launch a branded game for your gym, studio, brand, or client roster — email Tim@cadoo.io or join the Cadoo Upside Hub at cadoo.games/brands.


📅 Week of July 20, 2026

🏷️ Fitness Brands

[GROW] Oura launches Ring 5, its slimmest smart ring, tracking 50+ health metrics

The number: $399 device; 50+ health metrics; $69.99/yr membership

Oura's new Ring 5 launched this spring/summer with a slimmer, gym-friendly design that tracks more than 50 health metrics on a $399 device plus a $5.99/month or $69.99/year membership. It headlines a wave of 2026 wearable launches competing on continuous daily health data.

The Cadoo angle: A tracker brand chasing daily engagement can turn its passive Apple Health / Google Health Connect data into money-staked Cadoo branded games that give members a concrete reason to hit their numbers every day.

Source: Athletech News · 2026-07-01

[GROW] Google launches Fitbit Air, a $100 screen-free wearable, to widen the funnel

The number: $100 price; HRV, SpO2, temperature and sleep tracking; 3 free months of Google Health Premium

Google's Fitbit Air, launched at the end of May, is a screen-free $100 wearable tracking HRV, blood oxygen, temperature and sleep, undercutting Whoop's $199-$359 annual membership. The low price is a bid to pull first-time buyers into the health-tracking market.

The Cadoo angle: Cheap, high-volume trackers get people measuring but not necessarily moving; Cadoo's money-motivated, AI-verified branded challenges convert a device's step and workout data into recurring, stake-backed daily activity.

Source: Athletech News · 2026-07-01

[GROW] Wearable demand is surging, with Oura Ring searches up 58% year over year

The number: Oura Ring searches +58% YoY; Garmin watches +31.3%; tracker market projected $52.3B (2024) to ~$190B (2032)

MediaVision search data shows Oura Ring searches up 58% year over year and Garmin watches up 31.3%, making wearables among the fastest-growing consumer-tech categories, with Gen Z driving demand. The global fitness-tracker market is projected to more than triple to roughly $190 billion by 2032.

The Cadoo angle: Explosive tracker adoption gives Cadoo a growing base of Apple Health / Google Health Connect data to plug into staked branded games, turning devices people already own into daily proof-of-workout.

Source: Athletech News · 2026-04-06

🏢 Fitness Businesses

[GROW] Discover Strength tops 41 studios as strength-training franchising accelerates

The number: 41 locations across 15 states (31 franchised); 7 opened in H1 2026; 7 more in development

Strength-training franchise Discover Strength opened seven studios across six states in the first half of 2026 to reach 41 locations in 15 states, 31 of them franchised, with seven more in development. Founder Luke Carlson credits efficiency, expertise and results for continued franchise growth.

The Cadoo angle: Fast-scaling franchises competing on results can differentiate with Cadoo branded games that keep members staking and consistent between the sessions they've paid a premium to attend.

Source: Athletech News · 2026-07-06

[RETAIN] Zenoti survey flags 'silent churn' as the top gym retention threat in 2026

The number: 46% would feel more loyal if their gym acknowledged their absence; 51% of lapsed members would return with a personalized offer

Zenoti's survey of 1,393 current and lapsed U.S. members identifies 'silent churn' — members who stop attending without formally canceling — as a major retention challenge, with 46% saying they'd feel more loyal if their gym acknowledged their absence. More than half of lapsed members said the right personalized offer at the right time would win them back.

The Cadoo angle: Silent churn is inconsistency before it becomes a cancellation; a staked, socially-accountable Cadoo challenge gives lapsing members a money-motivated reason to show up on the days they'd otherwise quietly drift away.

Source: Zenoti 2026 Fitness Consumer Survey · 2026-05-01

[RETAIN] Five global fitness bodies publish study: exercise multiplies the GLP-1 payoff

The number: $120B projected 10-year U.S. value; 496% ROI from pairing structured exercise with GLP-1 therapy

A study from five international trade bodies (HFA, ukactive, AUSactive, Exercise New Zealand and Fitness Industry Council of Canada) found pairing GLP-1 therapy with structured exercise — especially strength training — delivers far better long-term outcomes than medication alone, projecting $120 billion in U.S. value and a 496% ROI over ten years. It calls for embedding exercise and referral pathways into GLP-1 care.

The Cadoo angle: The study says muscle retention depends on consistency during and after weight-loss drugs; Cadoo's money motivation and AI-verified proof-of-workout are built to make that day-to-day consistency stick.

Source: Athletech News / Health & Fitness Association · 2026-06-15

🧑‍🏫 Fitness Professionals

[ACCOUNTABILITY] NASM report: clients now prize longevity and accountability over aesthetics

The number: 88% of trainers say clients prioritize healthspan over aesthetics; 73% now manage clients on weight-loss drugs

NASM's survey of 1,133 U.S. trainers found 88% report clients now prioritize longevity over aesthetics and 73% manage clients on GLP-1 drugs, pushing trainers toward behavioral support and muscle retention. The report frames accountability and behavioral psychology as the irreplaceable human edge that algorithms can't replicate.

The Cadoo angle: Trainers say accountability is the value AI can't copy; Cadoo gives coaches a branded game where clients stake money and log AI-verified workouts, extending that accountability to the days between sessions.

Source: Fitt Insider / NASM 2026 State of the Personal Trainer Report · 2026-06-26

[GROW] Trainerize report: hybrid coaching is now the default trainer business model

The number: ~50% of trainers run hybrid coaching as their primary model; 64%+ use or explore AI tools

Trainerize's 2026 industry report finds roughly half of trainers now run hybrid (in-person plus online) coaching as their primary model versus 32% online-only and 14% in-person-only, while over 64% use or explore AI tools. Most onboard just one to five new clients a month, so growth hinges on systematized delivery rather than more acquisition.

The Cadoo angle: Hybrid coaches need a way to keep remote clients engaged between check-ins; a Cadoo branded game supplies staked, AI-verified daily accountability that scales past a trainer's fixed session schedule.

Source: Trainerize 2026 State of the Personal Training Industry Report · 2026-02-12

[ACCOUNTABILITY] Analysis: streaks, leaderboards and finite challenges are what keep fitness apps sticky

The number: 70-80% of fitness-app users drop off within three months; gamified apps have been shown to lift adherence ~27%

A 2026 analysis of gamification and Gen Z behavior finds streaks with social visibility drive sustained daily return, leaderboards build long-term community, and time-limited challenges re-engage lapsed users — against a backdrop where 70-80% of fitness-app users churn within three months. It echoes earlier research showing gamified apps can raise exercise adherence by roughly 27%.

The Cadoo angle: Cadoo is built from exactly these mechanics — shared leaderboards, streaks and finite staked challenges — but adds real money and AI-verified proof so the accountability is enforced, not just cosmetic.

Source: Gamification in Fitness Apps analysis (Medium) · 2026-05-01

Grow, retain, or get your community accountable? Try a free Cadoo demo game (steps, situps, pushups or squatups), or launch a branded game for your gym, studio, brand, or client roster — email Tim@cadoo.io or join the Cadoo Upside Hub at cadoo.games/brands.


📅 Week of July 14, 2026

🏷️ Fitness Brands

[GROW] Whoop raises $575M at $10.1B valuation, signals IPO ahead

The number: $575M Series G at a $10.1B valuation (roughly triple its 2021 mark)

Wearable maker Whoop closed a $575M Series G on March 31, 2026, tripling its valuation to $10.1B with backers including sovereign funds, Abbott, Mayo Clinic and pro athletes. The raise positions the recovery-and-strain tracker for an IPO and deeper clinical/health-platform expansion.

The Cadoo angle: A tracker brand chasing daily engagement could turn its passive Apple Health/Google Health data into money-staked Cadoo branded games that give members a concrete reason to hit their numbers every day.

Source: TechCrunch · 2026-03-31

[GROW] Garmin fitness segment revenue jumps 42% in Q1 2026

The number: Fitness segment revenue up 42% year-over-year in Q1 2026

Garmin reported a 42% year-over-year jump in fitness-segment revenue in Q1 2026, led by demand for advanced wearables, after a record 2025 across all five segments. The results underscore continued consumer appetite for devices that quantify workouts and recovery.

The Cadoo angle: Device brands with surging sales still need a reason for users to stay active; Cadoo's AI-verified, money-motivated branded challenges convert a tracker's step and workout data into recurring, stake-backed daily engagement.

Source: Garmin Ltd. (SEC 8-K) · April 2026

[ACCOUNTABILITY] Strava passes 195 million athletes as social kudos hit 14 billion

The number: 195M+ athletes; 14B kudos given in 2025 (up 2B YoY); 4B activities logged

Strava's 2026 figures cite more than 195 million athletes and 14 billion kudos exchanged in 2025, and the company has filed for an IPO on the strength of its social graph. Its growth is driven largely by social connection, with a majority of Gen Z users citing community as their top reason for joining fitness groups.

The Cadoo angle: Strava proves social visibility drives fitness behavior; Cadoo adds the missing financial stakes and AI-verified proof-of-workout so accountability translates into money on the line, not just likes.

Source: SQ Magazine · 2026

[ACCOUNTABILITY] Vuori uses in-store run clubs and community events to fuel athleisure growth

The number: ~$5.5B valuation; targeting 100+ stores by end of 2026, run as community hubs

Vuori has scaled to a roughly $5.5B valuation partly by turning retail stores into community hubs hosting run clubs, yoga and fitness classes, even as Nike's Greater China sales fell about 10% in fiscal Q3 2026. The activewear share shift favors brands built around community and lifestyle belonging.

The Cadoo angle: Brands investing in run clubs for belonging could extend that community online with Cadoo branded games, where members stake money and keep each other consistent between in-person events.

Source: OptiMonk · 2026

🏢 Fitness Businesses

[RETAIN] Industry-average annual gym retention sits at 66.4%, a 33.6% churn rate

The number: 66.4% average annual retention = 33.6% annual churn; cost is cited by 41% of cancellations

The HFA benchmarking data covering 175 companies and 17,000+ facilities pegs average annual gym retention at 66.4%, meaning roughly a third of members churn each year, with cost (41%) and time (23%) the top cancellation reasons. Strong operators hold 75-80% retention with monthly churn under 3%.

The Cadoo angle: Cadoo attacks churn's root cause, inconsistency between visits, by giving members a money-motivated, socially-accountable reason to keep showing up on the days they'd otherwise lapse.

Source: ABC Fitness / HFA 2025 Benchmarking Report · 2026

[RETAIN] Half of new gym members quit within six months; early no-shows predict cancellation

The number: Members who visit fewer than 4 times in month one have an ~80% chance of cancelling

Roughly half of new members quit before the six-month mark, and those attending fewer than four times in their first month carry about an 80% cancellation probability. The first 90 days are the decisive window for building a durable habit.

The Cadoo angle: A staked Cadoo onboarding challenge in a new member's first 30 days directly targets the visit-frequency threshold that predicts churn, using money and social accountability to force early consistency.

Source: Nutripy (Gym Retention Benchmarks 2026) · 2026

[GROW] Boutique studios raise prices and plan aggressive expansion into 2026

The number: 79% of studios plan new locations within 24 months; average class price up 6% to $21.32

Mariana Tek's 2026 report finds 79% of boutique studios planning new locations within two years and average class prices up 6% year-over-year, with Pilates the leading modality at 43% of studios. Growth is anchored in premium, community-driven, small-group experiences.

The Cadoo angle: Expanding studios competing on community can differentiate with Cadoo branded games that keep clients engaged and staking between the classes they've paid a premium to attend.

Source: Athletech News / Mariana Tek 2026 Boutique Fitness Report · 2026

[GROW] GLP-1 drugs projected to expand the fitness market by ~20%, or $6.8B

The number: ~20% projected market lift ($6.8B); 17 fitness clubs and 10 providers active in GLP-1 as of March 2026

As of March 2026, 17 fitness clubs and 10 solution providers have launched GLP-1 initiatives, with the medications projected to grow the gym/studio market by about 20%, or $6.8B. Chains including Planet Fitness, Gold's Gym and UFC Gym now pair medication programs with in-club fitness.

The Cadoo angle: GLP-1 users must exercise to preserve muscle, and Cadoo's money-motivated, AI-verified workout games give clinics and gyms a proven mechanism to keep those patients consistent between appointments.

Source: Inspire360 GLP-1 Health Club Intelligence Report · March 2026

[RETAIN] Weight-loss drugs push gyms toward strength training and muscle retention

The number: Only 13% of current GLP-1 users say they exercise more since starting

GLP-1 medications are reshaping gym demand toward strength and muscle preservation, but only 13% of current users report exercising more since starting the drugs. That gap leaves a large population that intends to be active but lacks a consistency mechanism.

The Cadoo angle: The 13% figure exposes an intention-to-action gap that Cadoo is built to close, using financial stakes and social accountability to convert GLP-1 users' intent into verified, repeated workouts.

Source: Axios · 2025-12-25

[ACCOUNTABILITY] Les Mills 2026 report: group-class members are 26% more loyal, and consumers want humans over AI

The number: Group-class members are 26% more likely to stay loyal; 45% of Gen Z seek out group workouts

Drawing on 10,000+ consumers, Les Mills' 2026 report finds group-class participants 26% more likely to stay loyal and 45% of Gen Z actively seeking group workouts, while flagging a preference for human connection over AI coaching. Community and sociability are framed as the core retention levers for a Gen Z-heavy market.

The Cadoo angle: Cadoo operationalizes the loyalty premium of community by letting members form money-staked groups and leagues that recreate group-class accountability every day, not just in class.

Source: Les Mills 2026 Global Fitness Report · January 2026

[RETAIN] Planet Fitness Q1 2026 revenue up 22% but the chain cuts its outlook on churn

The number: Revenue +22% to $337M and 21.5M members, but outlook cut amid elevated churn and soft net adds

Planet Fitness grew Q1 2026 revenue 22% to $337M and reached about 21.5M members, yet cut its full-year outlook citing softer net member additions and elevated churn. Even the largest value operator is signaling that retention, not acquisition, is the pressure point.

The Cadoo angle: For a high-volume, low-price operator, a branded Cadoo consistency game is a low-cost retention layer that keeps at-risk members engaged before elevated churn shows up in the numbers.

Source: Investing.com (earnings transcript) · May 2026

🧑‍🏫 Fitness Professionals

[GROW] Online and app-based coaching now captures 45% of the personal-training market

The number: Online/virtual delivery = 45% of the global training market

In 2026, virtual and app-based delivery accounts for about 45% of the personal-training market, and creator platforms let coaches keep roughly 80% of subscription revenue from clients they bring in. Owning a branded app is increasingly a baseline signal of professionalism for solo operators.

The Cadoo angle: Solo coaches building digital businesses can layer Cadoo money-staked, AI-verified challenges onto their programs to grow paid community and stand out beyond a standard workout-plan app.

Source: Specode (Personal Trainer App Development Guide 2026) · 2026

[RETAIN] Coaching goes 'productized' as trainers keep client progress visible between sessions

The number: 65%+ of active users engage with a coach or training app weekly

In 2026, clients expect coaching that adapts to real life and keeps progress visible even when they miss a week, with 65%+ of active users touching a coach or app weekly. AI-assisted tooling lets a single trainer profitably manage a larger client roster.

The Cadoo angle: Cadoo gives trainers a between-session retention tool: money-staked, camera-verified challenges that keep clients visibly accountable on the days they're not being coached, reducing silent drop-off.

Source: 1Fit (Best Personal Trainer Software 2026) · May 2026

[ACCOUNTABILITY] Group accountability and gamification measurably increase physical activity

The number: Randomized BE FIT (2017) and STEP UP (2019) trials show gamified social accountability significantly raises activity

Peer-reviewed trials (BE FIT, STEP UP) found that gamification tied to social accountability significantly increases physical activity, and 2026 coverage frames group accountability as the strongest lever for client consistency. The mechanism is repeated cues that someone is watching and progress is shared.

The Cadoo angle: Cadoo is a direct application of this evidence, combining gamified social accountability with real money stakes and AI-verified reps so a coach's clients stay consistent when willpower fades.

Source: CrossFit Burlingame (citing BE FIT and STEP UP trials) · 2026

Grow, retain, or get your community accountable? Try a free Cadoo demo game (steps, situps, pushups or squatups), or launch a branded game for your gym, studio, brand, or client roster — email Tim@cadoo.io or join the Cadoo Upside Hub at cadoo.games/brands.



🚀 Launch a Cadoo game for your brand, gym, studio, or clients

Every trend in this report points to the same fix: give people a daily, money-motivated, socially-accountable reason to stay consistent. Here's how to put one live under your name.

How do I launch a Cadoo fitness game?

Create one on the web in minutes — pick the activity (steps, situps, pushups, squatups, pullups, dipups, plank), set the goal, add a prize, and share the link. Start at cadoo.games/cyoc, or try a free demo game first at cadoo.games.

Can I add bigger prize pools?

Yes. Brands and enterprises can fund additional prize pools on top of player stakes to supercharge participation and retention — a proven lever for getting members and clients to show up. Ask us to set one up: Tim@cadoo.io.

What's the enterprise / brand offering?

The full package: custom-branded games and skins, funded prize pools, private leagues, AI-verified proof-of-workout, shareable branded UGC, and engagement reporting — so every workout your community does becomes your marketing and your retention. See cadoo.games/brands or email Tim@cadoo.io.

How are workouts verified?

Reps are checked by CadooVision's AI camera; steps and distance sync from Apple Health or Google Health Connect. No honor system — the money only moves on work people actually did.

Get fit. Get paid. Launch a game on the web · Enterprise & brands · Tim@cadoo.io

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